Estimated Time of SW:TOR's Release

So, a couple of days ago, I was looking on the TOROcast forums, and I came across this. It's a closely examined and a very detailed analysis on the release date of SW:TOR, or, from what he gathered, the logical date:

kmarst wrote:

OK I'm going to assume a lot of things here so bear with me.

My first assumption is that Bioware will not release the game before the entire Holonet is announced.
OK, so let's walk through the Holonet.

First classes: There are four left to be announced.
Now, I'm going to sidetrack and speculate on classes for a second. I'm going to base my theory on class types. Jedi knight and sith infiltrator are pretty much guaranteed.
Trooper and BH - ranged dps
Jedi knight and Sith Warrior - melee dps
smuggler and sith infiltrator - de-buffs/snares and the like
The last two I want to call a support class. Healer or group buffs. Officer or medic and moff or something similar.

OK, planets: In the holonet we have a top row of 5 planets with Balmorra on its own below it when you get the pop-up menu by hovering the mouse over "planets" There is room for four planets left to be announced.

Allegiances and factions: There is a row of three on top with the fourth one on a line below, but the box has room for a third row. That's 5.
Were probably getting information on the involvement of the Hutts, madalorians and the smugglers alliance. We might get black sun and a general one for the the various resistance groups on planets like Balmorra and Ord Mantel.

Timeline: There is a timeline video for every little notch on the top of the timelines video streamer.
There are 15 notches left.

Then there are four question mark boxes left with however many announcements fit in each of those. If we go by an average of the other categories and cut out the timeline for shifting the average. We get 9.

4 classes + 4 planets + 5 factions + 15 timelines + 3x9 question marks = 55

That is 55 weeks 'til the game is released assuming the announce one a week, don't skip a week. Plus they have a developer blog and making of video every now and then.

Long story short:
I think we are looking at a release around Christmas next year.

Thanks for bearing with me
-KJ

So, I want to hear your thoughts on this. Discuss in any way you wish.

It sounds like a perfectly reasonable analysis, conclusion and date to me.

However, I would have guessed Christmas next year without looking at all the facts anyway.

Interesting
I personaly believe that Bioware may make more than one update per week as the game nears completion. And given we've seen several gameplay videos, i would think that mid-year next year would be a more likely release date.
To tell you the truth I would prefer to play it end of next year, since by then I would have finished my uni studies and would have the time to play an MMO